Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
River Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , Eugene
Tract 41039002800 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,106 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 41039002800 covers part of the River Road area of River Road, OR, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$76,745
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eugene and the region
Centroid at 44.0899, -123.1260 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Road scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eugene
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.7
How River Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 467Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2000)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 225Total filings 2020-21
- 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Road
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,350, 17% below the River Road average. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 467 evictions over 16 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2000 at 6.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Lane County average of 6.2 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002800?
Census tract 41039002800 in the River Road neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002800?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002800?
15.6% of residents in tract 41039002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,106.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 41th, minority 38th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002800 considered part of River Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002800 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 467 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039002800 compare to Eugene overall?
Tract 41039002800 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Eugene at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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