Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
River Road Eviction Risk: Moderate , Eugene
Tract 41039002800 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,106 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 41039002800 runs through the River Road area of Eugene. With 5,106 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,350 a month while the average household earns $76,745 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$76,745
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eugene and the region
Centroid at 44.0899, -123.1260 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Road scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eugene
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.7
How River Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 467Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2000)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 225Total filings 2020-21
- 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Road
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Eugene eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lane County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 467 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.7% of renter households in 2000.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.84x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002800?
Census tract 41039002800 in the River Road neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002800?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002800?
15.6% of residents in tract 41039002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,106.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 41th, minority 38th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002800 considered part of River Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002800 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 467 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039002800 compare to Eugene overall?
Tract 41039002800 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Eugene at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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