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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

River Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , Eugene

Tract 41039002700 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,245 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

41039002700 is a census tract in the River Road area of Eugene, OR. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 16% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,685
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$64,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In River Road
Very High
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 45 tracts In Eugene
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 92 tracts In Lane County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eugene and the region

Centroid at 44.0903, -123.1442 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Road scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5

How River Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Road risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 0027007.0Eugeneparent city6.2Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 348Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.2%Peak (2000)
  • 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41039002700
Filings dropped 32% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 106Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Road

Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.2% across Lane County. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

It sits 1.0 points above the Lane County average of 6.2. Court records carry 348 eviction filings across 16 observed years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 11.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41039002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002700?

Census tract 41039002700 in the River Road neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41039002700?

Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002700?

13.9% of residents in tract 41039002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 87th, minority 38th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 41039002700 considered part of River Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002700 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41039002700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41039002700 compare to Eugene overall?

Tract 41039002700 scores 7.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Eugene at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eugene

Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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