Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
River Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , Eugene
Tract 41039002700 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,245 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 41039002700 in the River Road area of Eugene ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,245 residents. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,414 a month against an average household income of $64,949 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,685
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$64,949
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eugene and the region
Centroid at 44.0903, -123.1442 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Road scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eugene
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eugene
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eugene
7.5
How River Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 348Total filings over 16 yrs
- 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2000)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 106Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Road
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Eugene eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lane County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 348 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.2% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039002700?
Census tract 41039002700 in the River Road neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039002700?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039002700?
13.9% of residents in tract 41039002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,245.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 87th, minority 38th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 41039002700 considered part of River Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039002700 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039002700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 348 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 11.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039002700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039002700 compare to Eugene overall?
Tract 41039002700 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Eugene at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eugene eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eugene
Top eight tracts in Eugene ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
River Edge Public Plaza
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Woodfield Microhood
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Whiteaker
7.6
/ 10 · High
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