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Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Toledo Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41041951300 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,491 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Toledo

Census tract 41041951300 covers part of Toledo, OR, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,491. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Lincoln County average of 43.0%.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 6% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$76,888

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 18 tracts In Lincoln County
High
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#439 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,571 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 44.6026, -123.9576 · click any tract to drill in

Why Toledo scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
7.4

How Toledo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Toledo risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 9513006.6Toledoparent city5.5Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 5.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2006)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41041951300
Filings dropped 40% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 29Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-02-01 to 2025-12-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Toledo

37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 126 filings here across 9 tracked years.

Against the Lincoln County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $76,888, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41041951300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951300?

Census tract 41041951300 in Toledo scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41041951300?

Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951300?

16.0% of residents in tract 41041951300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 82th, minority 37th, housing 31th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 41041951300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.89% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41041951300 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 41041951300 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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