Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Middle Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hayesville
Tract 41047001603 ·
Marion County, OR · pop 7,973 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
In Middle Grove in Hayesville, census tract 41047001603 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #24,668 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,677 a month while the average household earns $84,924 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 16%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,304
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$84,924
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Middle Grove
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Hayesville
Very Low
Within county
39th percentile
#40 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Low
Within state
47th percentile
#527 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hayesville and the region
Centroid at 44.9750, -122.9473 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Grove scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hayesville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hayesville
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hayesville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hayesville
8.2
How Middle Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
36%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
356Total filings over 16 yrs
4.33%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak (2011)
20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2016
Filings dropped 31% over the past 16 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middle Grove
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hayesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 356 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.3% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047001603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047001603?
Census tract 41047001603 in the Middle Grove neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047001603?
Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047001603?
5.1% of residents in tract 41047001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,973.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047001603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 80th, minority 74th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 41047001603 considered part of Middle Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047001603 fall within Middle Grove (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047001603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 356 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047001603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047001603 compare to Hayesville overall?
Tract 41047001603 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Hayesville at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hayesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hayesville
Top eight tracts in Hayesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.