Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41047010100 · Marion County, OR · pop 1,529 · 33% of tract blocks fall in St. Paul
Census tract 41047010100 runs through St. Paul. With 1,529 residents, it scores 5.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,178 monthly, set against $91,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units484
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$91,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 45.2029, -122.9554 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Paul scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
4.9
How St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 14 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2005)
- 1Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Paul
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marion County average of 6.2 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047010100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010100?
Census tract 41047010100 in St. Paul scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047010100?
Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010100?
20.2% of residents in tract 41047010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 44th, minority 49th, housing 58th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41047010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047010100 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 41047010100 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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