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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41047010100 · Marion County, OR · pop 1,529 · 33% of tract blocks fall in St. Paul

Census tract 41047010100 covers part of St. Paul, OR, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,529. Cost burden runs 24% here against 48.4% across Marion County.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 27% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units484
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$91,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In St. Paul
Moderate
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very Low
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#845 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 45.2029, -122.9554 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Paul scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
4.9

How St. Paul compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
St. Paul risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0101004.2St. Paulparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2005)
  • 1Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41047010100
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Paul

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,178, 21% below the St. Paul average. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 30 evictions over 14 years of observation. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 6.9/10.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 3.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $91,250, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047010100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010100?

Census tract 41047010100 in St. Paul scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047010100?

Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010100?

20.2% of residents in tract 41047010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 44th, minority 49th, housing 58th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41047010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047010100 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 41047010100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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