Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Reed Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051000202 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,284 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 41051000202 sits in the Reed area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. It is home to 3,284 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share57.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$78,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.4818, -122.6455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Reed scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,343 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Reed compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 34%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 130Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Reed. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Reed
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,343 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Portland commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $78,281.
57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051000202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000202?
Census tract 41051000202 in the Reed neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051000202?
Median gross rent is $1,343/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000202?
9.3% of residents in tract 41051000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,284.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 32th, minority 31th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 41051000202 considered part of Reed?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000202 fall within Reed (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051000202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051000202 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051000202 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051000202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Riverview
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Whitwood Court
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Wilkes
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Roseway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
University District
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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