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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Arleta Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051000602 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 5,664 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 9.1/10, tract 41051000602 in the Arleta area of Portland, OR reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 12% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,020
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$72,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Arleta
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4748, -122.5720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arleta scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,582 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Arleta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arleta risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0006027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 908Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 8.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2001)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051000602
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 380Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.38×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arleta. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arleta

Cost burden runs 70% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Against the Multnomah County average of 7.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 908 filings here across 16 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 12.2% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051000602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000602?

Census tract 41051000602 in the Arleta neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051000602?

Median gross rent is $1,582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000602?

22.5% of residents in tract 41051000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 73th, minority 57th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 41051000602 considered part of Arleta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000602 fall within Arleta (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051000602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 908 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051000602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.05% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051000602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051000602 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051000602 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051000602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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