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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Grant Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051002600 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,961 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

41051002600 is a census tract in the Grant Park area of Portland, OR. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,961. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$122,054

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grant Park
Moderate
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#137 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#419 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5415, -122.6264 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grant Park scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,281 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Grant Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grant Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 0026007.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2004)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41051002600
Filings climbed 150% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 10Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grant Park

Average gross rent is $2,281, 38% above the Portland average. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 1.0 points below the Multnomah County average of 7.4. Court records carry 44 eviction filings across 14 observed years. The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 8.2% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002600?

Census tract 41051002600 in the Grant Park neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051002600?

Median gross rent is $2,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002600?

7.6% of residents in tract 41051002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,961.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 13th, minority 36th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 41051002600 considered part of Grant Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002600 fall within Grant Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41051002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.46% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051002600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051002600 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051002600 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 41051002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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