Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Lair Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051005701 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 763 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Lair Hill area of Portland anchors census tract 41051005701, which lands at 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,358 a month against an average household income of $84,766 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units265
Renter share85.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$84,766
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5024, -122.6729 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lair Hill scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,358 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Lair Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 37%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lair Hill
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.74x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051005701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005701?
Census tract 41051005701 in the Lair Hill neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051005701?
Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005701?
29.7% of residents in tract 41051005701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 763.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 1th, minority 44th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 41051005701 considered part of Lair Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005701 fall within Lair Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051005701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051005701 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051005701 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051005701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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