Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Swan Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051980000 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 55 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
41051980000 is a census tract in the Swan Island area of Portland, OR. It scores 7.5/10 for landlords. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5616, -122.7062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Swan Island scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Swan Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- -1,000%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.0%Peak (2009)
- 1Filings in 2009 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 3Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Swan Island
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Court records carry 1 eviction filings across 1 observed years. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051980000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051980000?
Census tract 41051980000 in the Swan Island neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051980000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority -1000th, housing -1000th.
Q3
Is tract 41051980000 considered part of Swan Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051980000 fall within Swan Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051980000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 41051980000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.00% of renter households, peaking at 0.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
How does tract 41051980000 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051980000 scores 7.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 41051980000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Pleasant Valley
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Russellville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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