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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

West Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 41053005203 · Polk County, OR · pop 6,765 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 41053005203 sits in the West Salem area of Salem eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,394
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$86,196

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In West Salem
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#27 of 40 tracts In Salem
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 16 tracts In Polk County
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9461, -123.0768 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Salem scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How West Salem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Salem risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0052036.4Salemparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Salem

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Polk County average of 6.4 closely. Average gross rent is $1,418, close to the Salem average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $86,196. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41053005203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41053005203?

Census tract 41053005203 in the West Salem neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41053005203?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41053005203?

10.1% of residents in tract 41053005203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,765.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41053005203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 91th, minority 53th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 41053005203 considered part of West Salem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41053005203 fall within West Salem (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41053005203 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41053005203 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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