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Salem, Oregon eviction risk overview
Ranked #104 of 1,861 nationally

Salem, OR Eviction Risk: HIGH

Marion County · Population 178,865

In 2026
Risk score
7.1
HIGH

99th percentile, Oregon.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.1 Average4.0 Now7.1
10 5 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.1 1981 · score 2.2 1982 · score 2.2 1983 · score 2.2 1984 · score 2.1 1985 · score 2.1 1986 · score 2.1 1987 · score 2.2 1988 · score 2.8 1989 · score 2.9 1990 · score 3.0 1991 · score 3.0 1992 · score 3.2 1993 · score 3.2 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.3 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.4 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.5 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.6 2003 · score 3.7 2004 · score 3.8 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 4.0 2007 · score 4.1 2008 · score 4.7 2009 · score 4.8 2010 · score 4.9 2011 · score 5.0 2012 · score 4.9 2013 · score 5.0 2014 · score 5.1 2015 · score 5.3 2016 · score 5.4 2017 · score 5.5 2018 · score 5.8 2019 · score 6.2 2020 · score 7.0 2021 · score 7.0 2022 · score 7.0 2023 · score 7.1 2024 · score 7.1 2025 · score 7.1 2026 · score 7.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.0 Regional 7.5 State 8.0 Economic 6.5 Supply 6.5 Rent Control 7.5 Eviction 7.0 Tenant 6.5 Housing 7.0 7.1 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +2.0% (2024)
    7.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    Oregon legislature & governorship
    8.0
  4. Economic stress
    14.7% poverty · 5.3% unemp.
    6.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,400 average · 44.1% renters
    6.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.5% of income on rent
    7.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    144 days filing → judgment
    7.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    44.1% renters
    6.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Salem compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Marion County
Very High
#1 of 24 cities
Rank in county — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 24 cities in Marion County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
Very High
#4 of 425 cities
Rank in state — 99th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Salem risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Salem: 7.17.1SalemThis cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg in countyState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.1
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.1/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel — assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 144d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,400/mo. A contested eviction takes 144 days and costs $7,668–$16,028 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 44.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 178,865 residents, 44.1% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 14.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.0 and 7.5 (GOP margin +2.0% (2024)). State climate at 8.0 — tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 8.0
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 8.0/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.0, housing court bias 7.0, rent-control risk 7.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.5. Supply constraint: 6.5. The numbers behind those: 14.7% poverty, 5.3% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Salem sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Portland, OR · 149d · ~$11.8k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Portland Gresham, OR · 135d · ~$12.6k all-in ($94/day) · score 7.4 Gresham Hillsboro, OR · 133d · ~$11.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 6.1 Hillsboro Beaverton, OR · 144d · ~$12.8k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.3 Beaverton Corvallis, OR · 143d · ~$12.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.2 Corvallis Albany, OR · 131d · ~$11.7k all-in ($89/day) · score 5.6 Albany Tigard, OR · 145d · ~$12.8k all-in ($88/day) · score 6.1 Tigard Aloha, OR · 151d · ~$13.4k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.0 Aloha Eugene, OR · 127d · ~$13.3k all-in ($104/day) · score 7.7 Eugene Bend, OR · 129d · ~$13.2k all-in ($102/day) · score 6.6 Bend Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Salem
Salem · 144d · ~$11.8k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Salem, OR

Landlording in Salem, Oregon, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.1/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Salem is a city of 178,865 residents where 44.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,400/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Salem eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.0/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Salem closes 144 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Salem's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.0/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Salem runs $7,668 to $16,028 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 144 days of typical timeline and $1,400/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.5/10 in Salem, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Salem: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $16,028 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Salem

Trap · LEGAL AID SERVICES OF OREGON
Marion County Circuit Court eviction calendar runs the standard Oregon timeline. Legal Aid Services of Oregon staffs Salem defense. Contested-case rates climbed after SB 608 took effect; operators with significant Salem portfolios have generally adjusted to the just-cause framework.
Trap · HB 2002 (2023)
State context: HB 2002 (2023) tightened qualifying-rental-unit rules. The 15-year exemption from SB 608 applies. Operators acquiring Salem inventory work within the statewide framework; no significant municipal layer.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest mistake landlords make in Salem?

The biggest mistake is not understanding or strictly following Oregon's eviction laws, especially the just-cause requirements and proper notice periods. Many landlords make errors in serving notices or filing paperwork, which leads to case dismissal and having to start over. Always get legal advice for an eviction. Another common error is not thoroughly screening tenants, which sets you up for problems from day one.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Salem if their lease is up?

Generally, no. Oregon has statewide just-cause eviction. This means you need a specific, legally recognized reason to evict, even if a fixed-term lease has expired and the tenant is now month-to-month. Non-payment of rent, lease violations, or specific landlord-related reasons (like moving in a family member) are just causes. You cannot simply evict a tenant because their lease is over and you want someone new, unless you meet very specific criteria that often trigger relocation assistance.

Q3

How quickly can I get a tenant out for non-payment in Salem?

The absolute fastest, if everything goes perfectly and the tenant doesn't contest, might be around 30-45 days from the first missed payment. However, the typical timeline is 144 days. Expect delays. Oregon's process is not quick, and courts are busy. Plan for the longer end of the spectrum.

Q4

Is rent control an issue for Salem landlords?

Oregon has statewide rent control, but it's not traditional "rent control" in the strictest sense. It caps annual rent increases at 7% plus the consumer price index (CPI). This is a significant factor for landlords to consider when planning rent increases. The rent-control-risk sub-score of 7.5 reflects this. Be sure to understand Oregon rent control rules to avoid violations.

Q5

Should I use a property manager in Salem?

For landlords with 1-20 units, especially if you have a day job, a good property manager can be invaluable in Salem. They understand the local laws, handle screening, deal with notices, and manage the eviction process with attorneys. Given the high risk and complexity, the cost of a property manager might be less than the cost of a single botched eviction.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.1/10 places Salem in the 99th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.