Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Salemtowne Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41053005205 · Polk County, OR · pop 8,203 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 41053005205 covers part of the Salemtowne area of Salem, OR, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,203. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units3,274
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$116,903
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9597, -123.0677 · click any tract to drill in
Why Salemtowne scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,716 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Salemtowne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Salemtowne
The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,716, 23% above the Salem average. It sits 1.3 points below the Polk County average of 6.4.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs 42% here against 47.3% across Polk County. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $116,903, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41053005205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41053005205?
Census tract 41053005205 in the Salemtowne neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41053005205?
Median gross rent is $1,716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41053005205?
8.9% of residents in tract 41053005205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,203.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41053005205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 84th, minority 33th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 41053005205 considered part of Salemtowne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41053005205 fall within Salemtowne (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41053005205 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41053005205 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related