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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Troy Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Millvale

Tract 42003241300 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,458 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 42003241300 in the Troy Hill area of Pittsburgh, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.8/10.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 31% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$73,822

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Troy Hill
Very High
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 128 tracts In Millvale
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#116 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#592 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millvale and the region

Centroid at 40.4652, -79.9841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Troy Hill scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millvale
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,586 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millvale
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millvale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millvale
6.0

How Troy Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Troy Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 2413004.7Millvaleparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Troy Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Troy Hill

At $1,586 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. The voucher gap is 23.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.4/10.

Against the Allegheny County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,822.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003241300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003241300?

Census tract 42003241300 in the Troy Hill neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003241300?

Median gross rent is $1,586/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003241300?

11.0% of residents in tract 42003241300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003241300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 13th, minority 41th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 42003241300 considered part of Troy Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003241300 fall within Troy Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003241300 compare to Millvale overall?

Tract 42003241300 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Millvale at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millvale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003241300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millvale

Top eight tracts in Millvale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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