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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Troy Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millvale

Tract 42003241300 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,458 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In the Troy Hill neighborhood of Millvale, census tract 42003241300 scores 6.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,489 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,586 a month while the average household earns $73,822 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 31% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,847
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$73,822

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Troy Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 128 tracts In Millvale
Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#136 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#968 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millvale and the region

Centroid at 40.4652, -79.9841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Troy Hill scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millvale
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,586 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millvale
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millvale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millvale
6.0

How Troy Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Troy Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 241300Millvale: 4.04.0Millvaleparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Troy Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Troy Hill

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millvale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Part of this tract, about 23% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003241300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003241300?

Census tract 42003241300 in the Troy Hill neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003241300?

Median gross rent is $1,586/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003241300?

11.0% of residents in tract 42003241300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003241300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 13th, minority 41th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 42003241300 considered part of Troy Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003241300 fall within Troy Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003241300 compare to Millvale overall?

Tract 42003241300 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Millvale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millvale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003241300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millvale

Top eight tracts in Millvale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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