Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Troy Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millvale

Tract 42003427000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,377 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Troy Hill area of Millvale anchors census tract 42003427000, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $910 a month while the average household earns $69,936 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 35% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,666
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$69,936

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Troy Hill
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Millvale
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#118 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#810 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millvale and the region

Centroid at 40.4817, -79.9738 · click any tract to drill in

Why Troy Hill scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millvale
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$910 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millvale
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millvale
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millvale
5.7

How Troy Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Troy Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 427000Millvale: 4.04.0Millvaleparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2003)
  • 63Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034270002000: 53 filings (5.83/100 renter HHs)2001: 54 filings (5.94/100 renter HHs)2002: 52 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2003: 72 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 65 filings (7.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 58 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 63 filings (6.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Troy Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Troy Hill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millvale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003427000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003427000?

Census tract 42003427000 in the Troy Hill neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003427000?

Median gross rent is $910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003427000?

16.5% of residents in tract 42003427000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003427000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 28th, minority 20th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 42003427000 considered part of Troy Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003427000 fall within Troy Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003427000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 417 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003427000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.40% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003427000 compare to Millvale overall?

Tract 42003427000 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Millvale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millvale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42003427000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related