Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Marshall Shadeland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003271600 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 4,310 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42003271600 (the Marshall Shadeland area of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,101 a month while the average household earns $40,015 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 17% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,040
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$40,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Marshall Shadeland
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4713, -80.0283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshall Shadeland scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0

How Marshall Shadeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marshall Shadeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 271600Pittsburgh: 4.94.9Pittsburghparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marshall Shadeland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marshall Shadeland

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 40% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003271600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003271600?

Census tract 42003271600 in the Marshall Shadeland neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003271600?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003271600?

29.0% of residents in tract 42003271600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003271600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 28th, minority 70th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 42003271600 considered part of Marshall Shadeland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003271600 fall within Marshall Shadeland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003271600 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003271600 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003271600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related