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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

McKees Rocks Bottoms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellevue

Tract 42003431100 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,244 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 42003431100 belongs to the McKees Rocks Bottoms area of Bellevue, Pennsylvania. It is home to 3,244 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #37,055 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $946 a month while the average household earns $65,794 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,660
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$65,794

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In McKees Rocks Bottoms
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bellevue
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,449 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellevue and the region

Centroid at 40.4901, -80.0506 · click any tract to drill in

Why McKees Rocks Bottoms scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellevue
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$946 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellevue
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellevue
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellevue
4.4

How McKees Rocks Bottoms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McKees Rocks Bottoms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 431100Bellevue: 3.73.7Bellevueparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 427Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2002)
  • 65Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034311002000: 44 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2001: 63 filings (5.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 78 filings (7.30/100 renter HHs)2003: 49 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 50 filings (4.68/100 renter HHs)2005: 78 filings (7.73/100 renter HHs)2006: 65 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McKees Rocks Bottoms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McKees Rocks Bottoms

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellevue, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003431100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003431100?

Census tract 42003431100 in the McKees Rocks Bottoms neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003431100?

Median gross rent is $946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003431100?

10.0% of residents in tract 42003431100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,244.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003431100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 21th, minority 26th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 42003431100 considered part of McKees Rocks Bottoms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003431100 fall within McKees Rocks Bottoms (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003431100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003431100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.82% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003431100 compare to Bellevue overall?

Tract 42003431100 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bellevue at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellevue; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42003431100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellevue

Top eight tracts in Bellevue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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