Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
McKees Rocks Bottoms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bellevue
Tract 42003431500 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,144 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
How risky is the McKees Rocks Bottoms neighborhood of Bellevue for landlords? Census tract 42003431500 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $895 a month while the average household earns $64,202 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,608
Renter share70.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$64,202
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bellevue and the region
Centroid at 40.4936, -80.0582 · click any tract to drill in
Why McKees Rocks Bottoms scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bellevue
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellevue
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellevue
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellevue
4.4
How McKees Rocks Bottoms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 30%Grade B
- 39%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 288Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2003)
- 44Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McKees Rocks Bottoms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McKees Rocks Bottoms
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellevue, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 288 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003431500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003431500?
Census tract 42003431500 in the McKees Rocks Bottoms neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003431500?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003431500?
15.0% of residents in tract 42003431500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003431500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 10th, minority 36th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 42003431500 considered part of McKees Rocks Bottoms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003431500 fall within McKees Rocks Bottoms (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003431500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 288 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003431500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.60% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003431500 compare to Bellevue overall?
Tract 42003431500 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bellevue at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellevue; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42003431500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bellevue
Top eight tracts in Bellevue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 42003431500
Parent city ↑
Bellevue
3.7 / 10
Parent county ↑
Allegheny County
Parent state ↑
Pennsylvania
Sibling tract →
McKees Rocks Bottoms
4.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
McKees Rocks Bottoms
4.1 / 10
Sibling tract →
McKees Rocks Bottoms
5.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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