Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Blackridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Churchill
Tract 42003561400 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,566 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up the Blackridge area of Churchill, census tract 42003561400 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $732 monthly, set against $43,032 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,312
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$43,032
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Churchill and the region
Centroid at 40.4506, -79.8620 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackridge scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Churchill
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$732 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Churchill
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Churchill
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Churchill
6.9
How Blackridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 74%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,179Total filings over 7 yrs
- 12.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.2%Peak (2003)
- 176Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blackridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackridge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Churchill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003561400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003561400?
Census tract 42003561400 in the Blackridge neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003561400?
Median gross rent is $732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003561400?
16.1% of residents in tract 42003561400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,566.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003561400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 82th, minority 80th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 42003561400 considered part of Blackridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003561400 fall within Blackridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003561400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,179 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003561400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.66% of renter households, peaking at 15.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003561400 compare to Churchill overall?
Tract 42003561400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Churchill at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Churchill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42003561400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Churchill
Top eight tracts in Churchill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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