Tract 42017105202 Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

The filing record is not thin: 65 evictions over 6 years of observation. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Bucks County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent runs $2,189 a month.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.