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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Moxham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnstown

Tract 42021011000 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,566 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 42021011000 covers Moxham in Johnstown in Pennsylvania. Home to 1,566 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 31st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $836 monthly, set against $56,951 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 21% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units672
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$56,951

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Moxham
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Johnstown
Moderate
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 42 tracts In Cambria County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,449 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnstown and the region

Centroid at 40.2905, -78.9198 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moxham scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$836 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
4.8

How Moxham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moxham risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 011000Johnstown: 4.24.2Johnstownparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.2%Peak (2006)
  • 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moxham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moxham

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cambria County average of 4.9 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42021011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021011000?

Census tract 42021011000 in the Moxham neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42021011000?

Median gross rent is $836/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42021011000?

11.0% of residents in tract 42021011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,566.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42021011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 41th, minority 25th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42021011000 considered part of Moxham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021011000 fall within Moxham (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021011000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42021011000 compare to Johnstown overall?

Tract 42021011000 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Johnstown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42021011000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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