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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Windridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Downingtown

Tract 42029304000 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,432 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

For landlords sizing up the Windridge neighborhood of Downingtown, census tract 42029304000 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,661 a month against an average household income of $97,772 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 17% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,519
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$97,772

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Windridge
Very Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Elevated
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#2,619 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#68,306 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Downingtown and the region

Centroid at 40.0130, -75.6775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windridge scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Downingtown
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,661 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Downingtown
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Downingtown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Downingtown
5.0

How Windridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 304000Downingtown: 3.73.7Downingtownparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2006)
  • 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420293040002000: 23 filings (6.89/100 renter HHs)2001: 11 filings (3.30/100 renter HHs)2002: 24 filings (7.19/100 renter HHs)2003: 18 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)2004: 23 filings (6.89/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (3.10/100 renter HHs)2006: 29 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Windridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windridge

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Downingtown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 146 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029304000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029304000?

Census tract 42029304000 in the Windridge neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029304000?

Median gross rent is $1,661/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029304000?

1.8% of residents in tract 42029304000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,432.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029304000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 9th, minority 49th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 42029304000 considered part of Windridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029304000 fall within Windridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029304000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029304000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029304000 compare to Downingtown overall?

Tract 42029304000 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Downingtown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downingtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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