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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Windridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Downingtown

Tract 42029304000 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,432 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 42029304000 covers part of the Windridge area of Chester County, PA, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,432 residents. Cost burden runs 59% here against 41.5% across Chester County.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 17% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,519
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$97,772

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Windridge
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#1,638 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Downingtown and the region

Centroid at 40.0130, -75.6775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windridge scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Downingtown
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,661 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Downingtown
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Downingtown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Downingtown
5.0

How Windridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 3040004.5Downingtownparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2006)
  • 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42029304000
Filings climbed 26% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Windridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windridge

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 146 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Chester County average of 4.4 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,661 a month.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $97,772.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029304000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029304000?

Census tract 42029304000 in the Windridge neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029304000?

Median gross rent is $1,661/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029304000?

1.8% of residents in tract 42029304000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,432.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029304000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 9th, minority 49th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 42029304000 considered part of Windridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029304000 fall within Windridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029304000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029304000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.39% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029304000 compare to Downingtown overall?

Tract 42029304000 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Downingtown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downingtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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