Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Downingtown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42029304102 · Chester County, PA · pop 3,367
Tract 42029304102 covers Downingtown in Pennsylvania. Home to 3,367 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,333 a month against an average household income of $90,380 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$90,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Downingtown and the region
Centroid at 40.0040, -75.7141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downingtown scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Downingtown
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Downingtown
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Downingtown
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Downingtown
4.3
How Downingtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 138Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2004)
- 17Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downingtown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Downingtown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 138 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029304102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029304102?
Census tract 42029304102 in Downingtown scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029304102?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029304102?
13.5% of residents in tract 42029304102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029304102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 33th, minority 36th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029304102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029304102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.30% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42029304102 compare to Downingtown overall?
Tract 42029304102 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Downingtown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downingtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Downingtown
Top eight tracts in Downingtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related