Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Downingtown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42029304102 · Chester County, PA · pop 3,367
42029304102 is a census tract in Downingtown, PA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,367. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$90,380
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Downingtown and the region
Centroid at 40.0040, -75.7141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downingtown scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Downingtown
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Downingtown
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Downingtown
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Downingtown
4.3
How Downingtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 138Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2004)
- 17Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downingtown
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.5 points above the Chester County average of 4.4.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Chester County average of 41.5%. Court records carry 138 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,333, 12% below the Downingtown average. Filings peaked in 2004 at 6.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $90,380, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029304102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029304102?
Census tract 42029304102 in Downingtown scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029304102?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029304102?
13.5% of residents in tract 42029304102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029304102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 33th, minority 36th, housing 30th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029304102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029304102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.30% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42029304102 compare to Downingtown overall?
Tract 42029304102 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Downingtown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downingtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Downingtown
Top eight tracts in Downingtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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