Bradford Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Exton

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The voucher gap is 32.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.3/10.

Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. At $2,391 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Exton commands.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.