Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Bucktoe Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Toughkenamon
Tract 42029306504 · Chester County, PA · pop 4,599 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42029306504 sits in the Bucktoe Manor area of Toughkenamon, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 4,599. At $1,318 a month, rents run 49% under what the rest of Toughkenamon commands.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$155,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toughkenamon and the region
Centroid at 39.8220, -75.7419 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bucktoe Manor scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,318 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toughkenamon
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
How Bucktoe Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2003)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bucktoe Manor
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 filings here across 7 tracked years.
It sits 0.6 points below the Chester County average of 4.4. Filings peaked in 2003 at 5.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $155,000, annual rent is just 10%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029306504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029306504?
Census tract 42029306504 in the Bucktoe Manor neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029306504?
Median gross rent is $1,318/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029306504?
7.5% of residents in tract 42029306504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,599.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029306504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 50th, minority 45th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 42029306504 considered part of Bucktoe Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029306504 fall within Bucktoe Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029306504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029306504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.31% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029306504 compare to Toughkenamon overall?
Tract 42029306504 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Toughkenamon at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toughkenamon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toughkenamon
Top eight tracts in Toughkenamon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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