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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Bucktoe Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Toughkenamon

Tract 42029306504 · Chester County, PA · pop 4,599 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Bucktoe Manor in Toughkenamon is where census tract 42029306504 sits, home to 4,599 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,318 a month against an average household income of $155,000 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 11% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$155,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bucktoe Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Toughkenamon
Very Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Elevated
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#2,459 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toughkenamon and the region

Centroid at 39.8220, -75.7419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bucktoe Manor scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,318 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toughkenamon
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1

How Bucktoe Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bucktoe Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 306504Toughkenamon: 3.93.9Toughkenamonparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2003)
  • 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420293065042000: 1 filings (0.62/100 renter HHs)2001: 5 filings (3.10/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2006: 3 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bucktoe Manor

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toughkenamon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029306504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029306504?

Census tract 42029306504 in the Bucktoe Manor neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029306504?

Median gross rent is $1,318/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029306504?

7.5% of residents in tract 42029306504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,599.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029306504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 50th, minority 45th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42029306504 considered part of Bucktoe Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029306504 fall within Bucktoe Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029306504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029306504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.31% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029306504 compare to Toughkenamon overall?

Tract 42029306504 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Toughkenamon at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toughkenamon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toughkenamon

Top eight tracts in Toughkenamon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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