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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Drexel Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , New Cumberland

Tract 42041010700 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 3,717 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 42041010700, in the Drexel Hills neighborhood of New Cumberland, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,717. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,395 a month while the average household earns $97,466 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$97,466

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Drexel Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In New Cumberland
Very Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 55 tracts In Cumberland County
Low
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#2,459 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Cumberland and the region

Centroid at 40.2321, -76.8820 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drexel Hills scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Cumberland
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,395 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Cumberland
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Cumberland
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Cumberland
6.2

How Drexel Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drexel Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 010700New Cumberland: 3.93.9New Cumberlandparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2003)
  • 3Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2004
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420410107002000: 2 filings (1.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (2.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Drexel Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drexel Hills

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Cumberland, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42041010700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041010700?

Census tract 42041010700 in the Drexel Hills neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42041010700?

Median gross rent is $1,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42041010700?

7.3% of residents in tract 42041010700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42041010700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 24th, minority 19th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42041010700 considered part of Drexel Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42041010700 fall within Drexel Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041010700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041010700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.10% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42041010700 compare to New Cumberland overall?

Tract 42041010700 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of New Cumberland at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Cumberland; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42041010700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Cumberland

Top eight tracts in New Cumberland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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