Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42041012400 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 7,796
Census tract 42041012400 belongs to Carlisle, Pennsylvania. It is home to 7,796 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,119 monthly, set against $74,663 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 41% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,017
Renter share40.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$74,663
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 40.1948, -77.2150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,119 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
7.1
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 70Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2004)
- 26Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 70 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041012400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012400?
Census tract 42041012400 in Carlisle scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041012400?
Median gross rent is $1,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012400?
7.7% of residents in tract 42041012400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,796.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 61th, minority 25th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 70 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041012400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42041012400 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 42041012400 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Carlisle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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