Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42041012300 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 2,885
Tract 42041012300 covers Carlisle in Pennsylvania. Home to 2,885 residents, it scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $537 monthly, set against $45,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units752
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$45,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 40.2047, -77.1994 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$537 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
7.1
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 51Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2003)
- 17Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012300?
Census tract 42041012300 in Carlisle scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041012300?
Median gross rent is $537/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012300?
18.1% of residents in tract 42041012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,885.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 17th, minority 46th, housing 78th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42041012300 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 42041012300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Carlisle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related