Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Paxtang Manor Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42043022100 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,236 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 42043022100, in the Paxtang Manor neighborhood of Paxtang, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,236. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,180 a month against an average household income of $75,577 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share38.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$75,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Paxtang and the region
Centroid at 40.2777, -76.8322 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paxtang Manor scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Paxtang
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paxtang
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paxtang
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paxtang
4.5
How Paxtang Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 343Total filings over 6 yrs
- 12.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2005)
- 58Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Paxtang Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paxtang Manor
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Paxtang, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043022100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022100?
Census tract 42043022100 in the Paxtang Manor neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043022100?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022100?
7.1% of residents in tract 42043022100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 83th, minority 66th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 42043022100 considered part of Paxtang Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022100 fall within Paxtang Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 343 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.02% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043022100 compare to Paxtang overall?
Tract 42043022100 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Paxtang at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paxtang; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42043022100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Paxtang
Top eight tracts in Paxtang ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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