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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Paxtang Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42043023100 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 1,681 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Paxtang Manor in Paxtang is where census tract 42043023100 sits, home to 1,681 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,085 a month against an average household income of $83,571 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units674
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$83,571

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Paxtang Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Paxtang
Moderate
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#2,305 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Paxtang and the region

Centroid at 40.2623, -76.8342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paxtang Manor scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Paxtang
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paxtang
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paxtang
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paxtang
4.9

How Paxtang Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paxtang Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 023100Paxtang: 4.04.0Paxtangparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2006)
  • 15Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430231002000: 6 filings (3.73/100 renter HHs)2001: 2 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (3.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (1.91/100 renter HHs)2006: 15 filings (9.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Paxtang Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paxtang Manor

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Paxtang, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043023100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023100?

Census tract 42043023100 in the Paxtang Manor neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043023100?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023100?

9.2% of residents in tract 42043023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,681.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 68th, minority 59th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 42043023100 considered part of Paxtang Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023100 fall within Paxtang Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.88% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043023100 compare to Paxtang overall?

Tract 42043023100 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Paxtang at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paxtang; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043023100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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