Paxtang Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Court records carry 37 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 9.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $83,571, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.