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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Twin Lakes Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Colonial Park

Tract 42043022606 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,392 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 42043022606, in the Twin Lakes Park neighborhood of Colonial Park eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,392. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,160 a month against an average household income of $53,759 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 36% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,840
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$53,759

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Twin Lakes Park
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Colonial Park
Elevated
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,449 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Park and the region

Centroid at 40.2761, -76.8060 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twin Lakes Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,160 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colonial Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.5

How Twin Lakes Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Twin Lakes Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 022606Colonial Park: 3.83.8Colonial Parkparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,168Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 24.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 48.4%Peak (2000)
  • 104Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430226062000: 396 filings (48.38/100 renter HHs)2001: 249 filings (30.42/100 renter HHs)2002: 162 filings (19.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 113 filings (13.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 144 filings (19.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 104 filings (13.89/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 74% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twin Lakes Park

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Colonial Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,168 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 24.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 48.4% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043022606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022606?

Census tract 42043022606 in the Twin Lakes Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043022606?

Median gross rent is $1,160/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022606?

7.0% of residents in tract 42043022606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,392.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 98th, minority 77th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 42043022606 considered part of Twin Lakes Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022606 fall within Twin Lakes Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022606?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,168 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.25% of renter households, peaking at 48.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043022606 compare to Colonial Park overall?

Tract 42043022606 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Colonial Park at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colonial Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Colonial Park

Top eight tracts in Colonial Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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