Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Nittany Villiage Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 42043023700 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 1,545 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42043023700 covers the Nittany Villiage area of Middletown in Pennsylvania. Home to 1,545 residents, it scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,037 a month while the average household earns $39,665 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units687
Renter share56.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$39,665
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 40.1912, -76.7378 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nittany Villiage scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,037 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
5.7
How Nittany Villiage compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 291Total filings over 6 yrs
- 13.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.3%Peak (2003)
- 41Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nittany Villiage
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 291 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 13.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.3% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043023700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023700?
Census tract 42043023700 in the Nittany Villiage neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043023700?
Median gross rent is $1,037/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023700?
20.5% of residents in tract 42043023700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,545.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 83th, minority 54th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 42043023700 considered part of Nittany Villiage?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023700 fall within Nittany Villiage (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 291 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.43% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043023700 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 42043023700 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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