Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Wildflower Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Clay
Tract 42071010202 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 42071010202 sits in Wildflower Pond in Clay, Pennsylvania eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 34% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,182 a month against an average household income of $82,295 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,229
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$82,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clay and the region
Centroid at 40.2153, -76.2293 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wildflower Pond scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clay
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clay
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clay
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clay
3.7
How Wildflower Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.3%Peak (2006)
- 71Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 407% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wildflower Pond
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 164 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 8.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.3% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071010202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071010202?
Census tract 42071010202 in the Wildflower Pond neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071010202?
Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071010202?
5.0% of residents in tract 42071010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071010202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 23th, minority 7th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 42071010202 considered part of Wildflower Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071010202 fall within Wildflower Pond (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071010202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071010202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.83% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071010202 compare to Clay overall?
Tract 42071010202 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Clay at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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