Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Ephrata Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42071012200 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 7,235 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42071012200 covers part of the Ephrata Commercial Historic District area of Ephrata, PA, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,235 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units3,003
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$65,599
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ephrata and the region
Centroid at 40.1764, -76.1699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ephrata Commercial Historic District scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ephrata
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,088 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ephrata
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ephrata
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ephrata
4.4
How Ephrata Commercial Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 193Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.0%Peak (2006)
- 53Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 194% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ephrata Commercial Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ephrata Commercial Historic District
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lancaster County average of 41.1%. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 193 evictions over 7 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Lancaster County average of 4.2 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071012200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071012200?
Census tract 42071012200 in the Ephrata Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071012200?
Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071012200?
9.9% of residents in tract 42071012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,235.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071012200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 81th, minority 21th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 42071012200 considered part of Ephrata Commercial Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071012200 fall within Ephrata Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071012200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 193 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071012200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071012200 compare to Ephrata overall?
Tract 42071012200 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Ephrata at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ephrata
Top eight tracts in Ephrata ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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