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Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Ephrata Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42071012404 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,377 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 42071012404 covers the Ephrata Commercial Historic District area of Ephrata, home to 5,377 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 45% of US census tracts.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,214 monthly, set against $84,821 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,906
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$84,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ephrata Commercial Historic District
Very Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Elevated
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#1,811 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#49,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ephrata and the region

Centroid at 40.1748, -76.1574 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ephrata Commercial Historic District scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ephrata
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ephrata
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ephrata
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ephrata
5.0

How Ephrata Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ephrata Commercial Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 012404Ephrata: 3.53.5Ephrataparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 193Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.8%Peak (2003)
  • 19Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710124042000: 11 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2001: 14 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2002: 32 filings (7.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 54 filings (11.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 51 filings (11.18/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2006: 19 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 73% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ephrata Commercial Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ephrata Commercial Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 193 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.8% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071012404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071012404?

Census tract 42071012404 in the Ephrata Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071012404?

Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071012404?

14.0% of residents in tract 42071012404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071012404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 72th, minority 17th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 42071012404 considered part of Ephrata Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071012404 fall within Ephrata Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071012404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 193 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071012404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.88% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071012404 compare to Ephrata overall?

Tract 42071012404 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Ephrata at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ephrata eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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