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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Crossgates Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millersville

Tract 42071013601 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,710 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

42071013601 is a census tract in the Crossgates Neighborhood area of Millersville, PA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Lancaster County average of 41.1%.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 11% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units624
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$78,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Crossgates Neighborhood
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Millersville
Moderate
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,074 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millersville and the region

Centroid at 40.0043, -76.3508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crossgates Neighborhood scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millersville
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millersville
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millersville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millersville
7.5

How Crossgates Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crossgates Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0136014.6Millersvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2002)
  • 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42071013601
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crossgates Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crossgates Neighborhood

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10. Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 5.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,459, close to the Millersville average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $78,875. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013601?

Census tract 42071013601 in the Crossgates Neighborhood neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071013601?

Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013601?

13.7% of residents in tract 42071013601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,710.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 1th, minority 28th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 42071013601 considered part of Crossgates Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013601 fall within Crossgates Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42071013601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071013601 compare to Millersville overall?

Tract 42071013601 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Millersville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millersville

Top eight tracts in Millersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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