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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Crossgates Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Millersville

Tract 42071013601 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 2,710 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up Crossgates Neighborhood in Millersville, census tract 42071013601 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,459 a month while the average household earns $78,875 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 11% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units624
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$78,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Crossgates Neighborhood
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Millersville
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Millersville and the region

Centroid at 40.0043, -76.3508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crossgates Neighborhood scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millersville
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millersville
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millersville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millersville
7.5

How Crossgates Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crossgates Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 013601Millersville: 3.93.9Millersvilleparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2002)
  • 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710136012000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crossgates Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crossgates Neighborhood

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millersville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013601?

Census tract 42071013601 in the Crossgates Neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071013601?

Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013601?

13.7% of residents in tract 42071013601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,710.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 1th, minority 28th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 42071013601 considered part of Crossgates Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013601 fall within Crossgates Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42071013601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.81% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071013601 compare to Millersville overall?

Tract 42071013601 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Millersville at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Millersville

Top eight tracts in Millersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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