Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Crossgates Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Millersville
Tract 42071013602 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 6,631 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 42071013602 in the Crossgates Neighborhood area of Millersville ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,631 residents. It lands near the 88th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,365 a month while the average household earns $64,375 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,316
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$64,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millersville and the region
Centroid at 39.9951, -76.3604 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crossgates Neighborhood scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millersville
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,365 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millersville
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millersville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millersville
7.5
How Crossgates Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2003)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crossgates Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crossgates Neighborhood
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millersville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071013602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013602?
Census tract 42071013602 in the Crossgates Neighborhood neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071013602?
Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013602?
28.6% of residents in tract 42071013602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,631.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 5th, minority 45th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 42071013602 considered part of Crossgates Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013602 fall within Crossgates Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071013602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.66% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071013602 compare to Millersville overall?
Tract 42071013602 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Millersville at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Millersville
Top eight tracts in Millersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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