Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Crossgates Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Millersville
Tract 42071013602 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 6,631 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 42071013602 sits in the Crossgates Neighborhood area of Millersville, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 6,631 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,316
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$64,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millersville and the region
Centroid at 39.9951, -76.3604 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crossgates Neighborhood scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Millersville
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,365 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millersville
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millersville
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millersville
7.5
How Crossgates Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2003)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crossgates Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crossgates Neighborhood
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Against Lancaster County at 41.1%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 1.8 points above the Lancaster County average of 4.2. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 28 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2003, when 1.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071013602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013602?
Census tract 42071013602 in the Crossgates Neighborhood neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071013602?
Median gross rent is $1,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013602?
28.6% of residents in tract 42071013602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,631.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 5th, minority 45th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 42071013602 considered part of Crossgates Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013602 fall within Crossgates Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071013602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.66% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071013602 compare to Millersville overall?
Tract 42071013602 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Millersville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millersville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Millersville
Top eight tracts in Millersville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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