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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Goose Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre

Tract 42079200200 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 3,823 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 42079200200 sits in the Goose Island neighborhood of Wilkes-Barre eviction risk, Pennsylvania eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,065 monthly, set against $70,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,458
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$70,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Goose Island
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 16 tracts In Wilkes-Barre
Moderate
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 101 tracts In Luzerne County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#593 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region

Centroid at 41.2453, -75.9046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goose Island scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2

How Goose Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goose Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 200200Wilkes-Barre: 4.34.3Wilkes-Barreparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2005)
  • 45Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420792002002000: 24 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2001: 20 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2002: 21 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (1.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 22 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2005: 46 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 45 filings (8.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Goose Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goose Island

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Luzerne County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42079200200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200200?

Census tract 42079200200 in the Goose Island neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42079200200?

Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200200?

21.2% of residents in tract 42079200200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,823.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 85th, minority 53th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 42079200200 considered part of Goose Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200200 fall within Goose Island (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.49% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42079200200 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Tract 42079200200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42079200200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre

Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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