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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Goose Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre

Tract 42079200200 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 3,823 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 42079200200 covers part of the Goose Island area of Wilkes-Barre, PA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,823 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,458
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$70,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Goose Island
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 16 tracts In Wilkes-Barre
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#30 of 101 tracts In Luzerne County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region

Centroid at 41.2453, -75.9046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goose Island scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2

How Goose Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goose Island risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 2002004.8Wilkes-Barreparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2005)
  • 45Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42079200200
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Goose Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goose Island

Cost burden runs 55% here against 38.9% across Luzerne County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 filings here across 7 tracked years. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Luzerne County average of 4.5.

At $1,065 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Wilkes-Barre commands. Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.5% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42079200200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200200?

Census tract 42079200200 in the Goose Island neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42079200200?

Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200200?

21.2% of residents in tract 42079200200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,823.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 85th, minority 53th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 42079200200 considered part of Goose Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200200 fall within Goose Island (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.49% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42079200200 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?

Tract 42079200200 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42079200200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre

Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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