Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Goose Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre
Tract 42079200400 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 2,857 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 42079200400 in the Goose Island area of Wilkes-Barre ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,857 residents. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,110 a month while the average household earns $56,845 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units893
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$56,845
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region
Centroid at 41.2339, -75.9089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goose Island scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,110 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2
How Goose Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 93%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 161Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2005)
- 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Goose Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goose Island
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Luzerne County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42079200400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200400?
Census tract 42079200400 in the Goose Island neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42079200400?
Median gross rent is $1,110/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200400?
16.0% of residents in tract 42079200400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 90th, minority 75th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 42079200400 considered part of Goose Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200400 fall within Goose Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 161 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.64% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42079200400 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?
Tract 42079200400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42079200400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre
Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Mayflower
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East End
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Parsons
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Rolling Mill Hill
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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