Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Goose Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilkes-Barre
Tract 42079200400 · Luzerne County, PA · pop 2,857 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 42079200400 in the Goose Island area of Wilkes-Barre, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,857 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units893
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$56,845
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilkes-Barre and the region
Centroid at 41.2339, -75.9089 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goose Island scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,110 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilkes-Barre
7.2
How Goose Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 93%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 161Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2005)
- 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Goose Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goose Island
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.2/10. At $1,110 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Wilkes-Barre commands.
The filing record is not thin: 161 evictions over 7 years of observation. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2005 at 9.6% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42079200400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42079200400?
Census tract 42079200400 in the Goose Island neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42079200400?
Median gross rent is $1,110/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42079200400?
16.0% of residents in tract 42079200400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,857.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42079200400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 90th, minority 75th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 42079200400 considered part of Goose Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42079200400 fall within Goose Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42079200400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 161 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42079200400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.64% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42079200400 compare to Wilkes-Barre overall?
Tract 42079200400 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Wilkes-Barre at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilkes-Barre eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42079200400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilkes-Barre
Top eight tracts in Wilkes-Barre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Parsons
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East End
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Rolling Mill Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North End
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Mayflower
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related