Hermitage Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Average gross rent is $1,080, 21% above the Hermitage average. The voucher gap is 18.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.0 points below the Mercer County average of 4.0. Court records carry 24 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 6.9/10. Filings peaked in 2000 at 2.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $83,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.