Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Philmont Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42091200104 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 4,148 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 42091200104 sits in the Philmont area of Montgomery County, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,286
Renter share5.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$151,630

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Philmont
Very High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#171 of 219 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#2,502 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,558 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Montgomery County and the region

Centroid at 40.1353, -75.0353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Philmont scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,925 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Philmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Philmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 2001044.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2003)
  • 1Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42091200104
Filings dropped 100% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Philmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Philmont

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Montgomery County average of 42.6%.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 12.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Against average income of $151,630, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42091200104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091200104?

Census tract 42091200104 in the Philmont neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42091200104?

Median gross rent is $1,925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42091200104?

3.8% of residents in tract 42091200104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,148.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42091200104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 58th, minority 25th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42091200104 considered part of Philmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091200104 fall within Philmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091200104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 42091200104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.00% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Related