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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Philmont Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42091200105 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 3,531 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

42091200105 is a census tract in the Philmont area of Montgomery County, PA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,531. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,043
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$157,014

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Philmont
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#186 of 219 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#2,601 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Montgomery County and the region

Centroid at 40.1180, -75.0558 · click any tract to drill in

Why Philmont scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,715 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Philmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Philmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 2001054.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 10.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak (2006)
  • 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42091200105
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Philmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Philmont

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 21.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $157,014, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42091200105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091200105?

Census tract 42091200105 in the Philmont neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42091200105?

Median gross rent is $1,715/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42091200105?

2.1% of residents in tract 42091200105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,531.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42091200105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 41th, minority 31th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 42091200105 considered part of Philmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091200105 fall within Philmont (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091200105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42091200105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.40% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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