Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Elkins Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42091201902 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 5,660 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 42091201902 sits in the Elkins Park area of McKinley, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 5,660 residents. 53% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,400
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$83,856
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elkins Park and the region
Centroid at 40.0830, -75.1088 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elkins Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elkins Park
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,565 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkins Park
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkins Park
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkins Park
2.7
How Elkins Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 18%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 264Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2000)
- 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elkins Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elkins Park
Cost burden runs 60% here against 42.6% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.4/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.
At $1,565 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of McKinley commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 264 evictions over 7 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 9.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42091201902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091201902?
Census tract 42091201902 in the Elkins Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42091201902?
Median gross rent is $1,565/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42091201902?
8.2% of residents in tract 42091201902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,660.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42091201902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 67th, minority 51th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 42091201902 considered part of Elkins Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091201902 fall within Elkins Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091201902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 264 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42091201902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.16% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42091201902 compare to Elkins Park overall?
Tract 42091201902 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Elkins Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkins Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42091201902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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