Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Elkins Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42091202301 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 4,617 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
42091202301 is a census tract in the Elkins Park area of Elkins Park, PA. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,965
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$150,799
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elkins Park and the region
Centroid at 40.0771, -75.1227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elkins Park scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elkins Park
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,901 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elkins Park
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elkins Park
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elkins Park
6.3
How Elkins Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 35%Grade A
- 64%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 175Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2000)
- 37Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elkins Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elkins Park
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Montgomery County average of 42.6%. Average gross rent is $1,901, 18% above the Elkins Park average.
The filing record is not thin: 175 evictions over 7 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.3. Filings peaked in 2000 at 6.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42091202301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091202301?
Census tract 42091202301 in the Elkins Park neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42091202301?
Median gross rent is $1,901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42091202301?
6.1% of residents in tract 42091202301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,617.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42091202301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 14th, minority 51th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 42091202301 considered part of Elkins Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42091202301 fall within Elkins Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091202301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42091202301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.75% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42091202301 compare to Elkins Park overall?
Tract 42091202301 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Elkins Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elkins Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42091202301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elkins Park
Top eight tracts in Elkins Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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