Swedeland Eviction Risk: Lower

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.4/10. Against Montgomery County at 42.6%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 72 evictions over 7 years of observation.

The voucher gap is 15.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,075, close to the Swedeland average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $111,563.

42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.