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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Wagner Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Hellertown

Tract 42095017901 · Northampton County, PA · pop 3,645 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 42095017901 covers Wagner Terrace in Hellertown in Pennsylvania. Home to 3,645 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,190 a month against an average household income of $67,963 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$67,963

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Wagner Terrace
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hellertown
Very High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 74 tracts In Northampton County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,377 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hellertown and the region

Centroid at 40.5863, -75.3388 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wagner Terrace scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hellertown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hellertown
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hellertown
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hellertown
5.6

How Wagner Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wagner Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 017901Hellertown: 3.93.9Hellertownparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2006)
  • 13Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420950179012000: 6 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2001: 4 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (1.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 11 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wagner Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wagner Terrace

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hellertown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Northampton County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 61 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42095017901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095017901?

Census tract 42095017901 in the Wagner Terrace neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42095017901?

Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42095017901?

7.6% of residents in tract 42095017901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,645.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42095017901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 67th, minority 31th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 42095017901 considered part of Wagner Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095017901 fall within Wagner Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095017901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095017901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.83% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42095017901 compare to Hellertown overall?

Tract 42095017901 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Hellertown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hellertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42095017901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hellertown

Top eight tracts in Hellertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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