Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Wagner Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Hellertown
Tract 42095017902 · Northampton County, PA · pop 2,464 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 42095017902, home to 2,464 residents in the Wagner Terrace area of Hellertown, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 60% of US census tracts.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,558 a month against an average household income of $84,521 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units946
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$84,521
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hellertown and the region
Centroid at 40.5746, -75.3366 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wagner Terrace scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hellertown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,558 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hellertown
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hellertown
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hellertown
5.6
How Wagner Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 6%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2003)
- 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Wagner Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wagner Terrace
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hellertown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Northampton County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095017902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095017902?
Census tract 42095017902 in the Wagner Terrace neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095017902?
Median gross rent is $1,558/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095017902?
2.4% of residents in tract 42095017902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,464.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095017902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 70th, minority 17th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 42095017902 considered part of Wagner Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095017902 fall within Wagner Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095017902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095017902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.07% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095017902 compare to Hellertown overall?
Tract 42095017902 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Hellertown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hellertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42095017902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hellertown
Top eight tracts in Hellertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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