Wagner Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , Hellertown

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against Northampton County at 43.1%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Court records carry 37 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

It sits 0.8 points below the Northampton County average of 4.5. Average gross rent is $1,558, 14% above the Hellertown average.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bethlehem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.