Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Bella Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101001500 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,251 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42101001500 covers part of the Bella Vista area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,486
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$108,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9419, -75.1591 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bella Vista scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,758 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Bella Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 94%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 32Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.25×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bella Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bella Vista
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. At $1,758 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Philadelphia commands. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.
Cost burden runs 42% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County. The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 2.3% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $108,378.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101001500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101001500?
Census tract 42101001500 in the Bella Vista neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101001500?
Median gross rent is $1,758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101001500?
7.4% of residents in tract 42101001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101001500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 3th, minority 51th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 42101001500 considered part of Bella Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101001500 fall within Bella Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101001500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101001500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.62% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101001500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101001500 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101001500 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101001500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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