Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Packer Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003902 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 5,419 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42101003902 covers part of the Packer Park area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,419 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,310
Renter share23.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$87,258
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9167, -75.1744 · click any tract to drill in
Why Packer Park scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,405 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Packer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 78%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2012)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 47Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Packer Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Packer Park
On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.
Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 43% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County. The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003902?
Census tract 42101003902 in the Packer Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003902?
Median gross rent is $1,405/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003902?
13.6% of residents in tract 42101003902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 35th, minority 20th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003902 considered part of Packer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003902 fall within Packer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003902 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003902 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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