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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

East Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia

Tract 42101020701 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 4,309 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42101020701 in the East Falls area of Philadelphia, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,309. Cost burden runs 27% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 34% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,143
Renter share46.4%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$115,402

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In East Falls
Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#324 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#399 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Very Low
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,074 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 40.0113, -75.1895 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Falls scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,683 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How East Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0207016.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 47Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.92×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Falls

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,683, 20% above the Philadelphia average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $115,402, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101020701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101020701?

Census tract 42101020701 in the East Falls neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101020701?

Median gross rent is $1,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101020701?

11.6% of residents in tract 42101020701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101020701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 0th, minority 38th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 42101020701 considered part of East Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101020701 fall within East Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 42101020701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.92× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 42101020701 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101020701 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42101020701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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